In this edition of the PGI Quarterly Geopolitical Risk Forecast, our Intelligence Analysts provide in-depth analysis of political tensions between India and Pakistan, civil unrest in Sudan and Mozambique, ongoing trade tensions between China and the US, and political violence in Israel and Lebanon among other topics of relevance to international companies.
The analysis will include changes to threat ratings, as well as a summary of important dates that may impact businesses in the next three months.
You can now purchase the full Q4 Quarterly Geopolitical Risk Forecast – it is available as a subscription or as a standalone product. To get an understanding of what the report can provide, you can download a sample, here.
What is the Quarterly Geopolitical Risk Forecast?
PGI’s clients need to know what’s happening around the globe and the implications for the future. The Geopolitical Risk Forecast provides this information based on our ongoing monitoring and analysis of global events and geopolitical activity, and our experience working with organisations that have global footprints and need to ensure the safety of their people and the continuity of projects and commercial relationships.
What’s in the Forecast?
The Forecast is structured by region and provides an assessment of countries that have experienced a changing threat environment, as well as forward looking analysis for the next quarter.
The full document will cover:
Threat changes: An assessment of a change in the quantitative risk score given to a country in the past quarter.
Watch list: Current and forecast trends or upcoming events that could change the threat environment within a country during the next quarter.
Key dates: Key political, religious and cultural dates and events to be aware of which could be of interest or pose a risk.
Trend changes: An analysis of trend changes across the Risk Portal’s eight security and three business threat categories.